Portugal to win Colombia vs Portugal
Portugal is priced at 46¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 43¢ bid, 46¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Colombia vs Portugal Winner.
Price history
46¢ current
+6¢Contract brief
If Portugal wins the Colombia vs Portugal professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Portugal
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
Portugal 43¢
Range
27¢-43¢
Family volume
$474
Identifier
KXWCGAME-26JUN27COLPOR-POR
May 26, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 19m ago
Implied probability
Bid
43¢
Ask
46¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$304
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · Colombia vs Portugal Winner
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Family volume
$474
Orderbook snapshot
43 / 46¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Portugal wins the Colombia vs Portugal professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Identifier
KXWCGAME-26JUN27COLPOR-POR
Event family
Colombia vs Portugal Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$474
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Portugal 43¢
Current share
64%
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.