Cruzeiro EC (-2.5) for Spread
Cruzeiro EC (-2.5) is priced at 26¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 25¢ bid, 27¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 11 inside Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC - More Markets.
Price history
26¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
In the upcoming Copa Libertadores game, scheduled for May 28 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cruzeiro EC" if Cruzeiro EC win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Barcelona SC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on conmebollibertadores.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Outcome
Cruzeiro EC (-2.5)
Rank
#7 of 11
Leader
O/U 0.5 95¢
Range
1¢-95¢
Family volume
$9K
Identifier
0xa5a219d5...35f3
May 28, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 21m ago
Implied probability
Bid
25¢
Ask
27¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$347
Family rank
#7 of 11
11 outcomes · Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC - More Markets
Closes
May 29, 2026
Family volume
$9K
Orderbook snapshot
25 / 27¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
In the upcoming Copa Libertadores game, scheduled for May 28 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cruzeiro EC" if Cruzeiro EC win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Barcelona SC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on conmebollibertadores.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 29, 2026
Identifier
0xa5a219d5…35f3
Event family
Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC - More Markets.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$9K
Outcomes
11
Highest price
O/U 0.5 95¢
Current share
4%
O/U 0.5
polymarket · 0xd75afc98758695ee1ccf364b02209f87977a93a8714bbe4a11ba3a4133dbb5bb
O/U 1.5
polymarket · 0x118c6e16a1bdea493fa4fc3a3c7944f2256d2ae045bc79fb0aabded6a8f4ecda
O/U 2.5
polymarket · 0x2f7c02a67922d4cf6fa5e3a0beee6b5c7b7552bb037a98e0e741f32e6817b34f
Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)
polymarket · 0x7666e99f4cc95a3a8c47533301db59c1cc448fdd322ef100a327595af8107314
Both Teams to Score
polymarket · 0x41d66f105368192afb0a62f2cd425a6f11ae9ecc74622804f268abf488b4fdb4
O/U 3.5
polymarket · 0x079217c8e78b7b5141142fdb4bf2115586a980610e0ea1cf08b9ce71eba2bf02
Cruzeiro EC (-2.5)
polymarket · 0xa5a219d5e29d6ed82247090a0a53c32eabe91a336ec46470ddbb57007ffe35f3
O/U 4.5
polymarket · 0x0a42e5584d6faa4ff8da577df7b87326e55407c53e4ad9120340dfdbaf7b3b23
O/U 5.5
polymarket · 0x9b6df41e3219261c81870d9f0576ec844e0cc2084b792fc765db8446e1663a5e
Barcelona SC (-1.5)
polymarket · 0x0c8e3a6c3abbe081aa926462487534c0a48807f9f8e4691b4a76e7ed97158efa
Barcelona SC (-2.5)
polymarket · 0x58860942f8c24f7d0c551d70f2c23a7b70e130876766d755ac2e9539da080447
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.