O/U 1.5 for Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC
O/U 1.5 is priced at 75¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 74¢ bid, 76¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 11 inside Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC - More Markets.
Price history
75¢ current
Contract brief
In the upcoming Copa Libertadores game between Cruzeiro EC and Barcelona SC, scheduled for May 28 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Cruzeiro EC and Barcelona SC combine to score 2 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 2, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on conmebollibertadores.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Outcome
O/U 1.5
Rank
#2 of 11
Leader
O/U 0.5 95¢
Range
1¢-95¢
Family volume
$9K
Identifier
0x118c6e16...ecda
May 28, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
74¢
Ask
76¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$327
Family rank
#2 of 11
11 outcomes · Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC - More Markets
Closes
May 29, 2026
Family volume
$9K
Orderbook snapshot
74 / 76¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
In the upcoming Copa Libertadores game between Cruzeiro EC and Barcelona SC, scheduled for May 28 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Cruzeiro EC and Barcelona SC combine to score 2 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 2, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on conmebollibertadores.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 29, 2026
Identifier
0x118c6e16…ecda
Event family
Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC - More Markets.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$9K
Outcomes
11
Highest price
O/U 0.5 95¢
Current share
4%
O/U 0.5
polymarket · 0xd75afc98758695ee1ccf364b02209f87977a93a8714bbe4a11ba3a4133dbb5bb
O/U 1.5
polymarket · 0x118c6e16a1bdea493fa4fc3a3c7944f2256d2ae045bc79fb0aabded6a8f4ecda
O/U 2.5
polymarket · 0x2f7c02a67922d4cf6fa5e3a0beee6b5c7b7552bb037a98e0e741f32e6817b34f
Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)
polymarket · 0x7666e99f4cc95a3a8c47533301db59c1cc448fdd322ef100a327595af8107314
Both Teams to Score
polymarket · 0x41d66f105368192afb0a62f2cd425a6f11ae9ecc74622804f268abf488b4fdb4
O/U 3.5
polymarket · 0x079217c8e78b7b5141142fdb4bf2115586a980610e0ea1cf08b9ce71eba2bf02
Cruzeiro EC (-2.5)
polymarket · 0xa5a219d5e29d6ed82247090a0a53c32eabe91a336ec46470ddbb57007ffe35f3
O/U 4.5
polymarket · 0x0a42e5584d6faa4ff8da577df7b87326e55407c53e4ad9120340dfdbaf7b3b23
O/U 5.5
polymarket · 0x9b6df41e3219261c81870d9f0576ec844e0cc2084b792fc765db8446e1663a5e
Barcelona SC (-1.5)
polymarket · 0x0c8e3a6c3abbe081aa926462487534c0a48807f9f8e4691b4a76e7ed97158efa
Barcelona SC (-2.5)
polymarket · 0x58860942f8c24f7d0c551d70f2c23a7b70e130876766d755ac2e9539da080447
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome
When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.
Prediction market liquidity: why depth matters more than volume for serious traders
Why orderbook depth matters more than volume for prediction market traders. Real Kalshi examples, liquidity scoring framework, and how to avoid slippage.
Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026
Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ
Liquidity Migration Across Resolution: Where the Money Goes When a Market Closes
When a flagship prediction market closes, the capital that was in it migrates to next-period siblings, adjacent categories, or off the venue entirely. Three migration patterns and the receiving-market opportunity.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
The Overround Illusion: Why EE > 0 Isn't Free Money
Event Overround at +0.06 looks like a 6% guaranteed return. After fees and slippage, the trade is usually negative. The interesting use of EE is changes over time, not the raw level.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 75% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.