Czechia to win Czechia vs South Africa
Czechia is priced at 79¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 43¢ bid, 50¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Czechia vs South Africa Winner.
Price history
79¢ current
+75¢Contract brief
If Czechia wins the Czechia vs South Africa professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Czechia
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
Czechia 44¢
Range
15¢-44¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXWCGAME-26JUN18CZERSA-CZE
May 25, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 28m ago
Implied probability
Bid
43¢
Ask
50¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$12
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · Czechia vs South Africa Winner
Closes
Jul 2, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
43 / 50¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Czechia wins the Czechia vs South Africa professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 2, 2026
Identifier
KXWCGAME-26JUN18CZERSA-CZE
Event family
Czechia vs South Africa Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Czechia 44¢
Current share
—
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.