The 2026 Costa Rican general election is scheduled for February 1, 2026. The President of Costa Rica is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 40% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tribunal Supremo de Elecciones (https://www.tse.go.cr/index.html).
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| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves | 5.1% |
Juan Carlos Hidalgo Bogantes | 2.5% |
Andrés Ariel Robles Barrantes | 1.4% |
Gerardo Fabricio Alvarado Muñoz |
Fernando Zamora Castellanos | 0.4% |
Luis Esteban Amador Jiménez | 0.3% |
Claudio Alberto Alpízar Otoya | 0.2% |
Eliécer Feinzaig Mintz | 0.2% |
David Hernández Brenes | 0.1% |
Marco David Rodríguez Badilla | 0.1% |
Boris Molina Acevedo | 0.1% |
Douglas Caamaño Quirós | 0.1% |
Other | 0.0% |
Person B | 0.0% |
Person D | 0.0% |
Person E | 0.0% |
Person F | 0.0% |
Person G | 0.0% |
Person H | 0.0% |
Person I | 0.0% |
CurrentPerson J | 0.0% |
Person L | 0.0% |
Person M | 0.0% |
Person N | 0.0% |
Person O | 0.0% |
Person A | 0.0% |
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| 14.0% |
| $3,025 |
| Trade |
Kalshi | 4.0% | $600 | Trade |