This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player officially qualifies for the 2026 FIDE World Chess Championship Candidates Tournament. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIDE World Chess Championship Candidates Tournament is cancelled or rescheduled past January 1, 2027, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIDE Candidates Tournament organizers; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
Hikaru Nakamura | 100.0% |
Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa | 100.0% |
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave | 4.5% |
CurrentIan Nepomniachtchi | 2.4% |
Magnus Carlsen | 1.8% |
Vincent Keymer | 1.5% |
Alireza Firouzja | 1.5% |
Vladimir Fedoseev | 0.8% |
Arjun Erigaisi | 0.6% |
Hans Niemann | 0.6% |
Nodirbek Abdusattorov | 0.5% |