Deportivo Saprissa vs. Guadalupe FC: O/U 1.5

This illiquid niche soccer market shows extreme yield asymmetry with the "No" side offering 9,642% annualized return versus 3,941% for "Yes," suggesting severe mispricing or structural arbitrage opportunity given the $0 24-hour volume and wide 65¢ spread. The 754% realized volatility and sharp 9-point price movement over seven days indicate high uncertainty, though the neutral regime score and modest 2.3 info arrivals per hour suggest limited new data flow before the April 22 match. With only 6 days to expiry and just $63k open interest, execution risk is substantial—this appears to be a thin market where the extreme yields reflect illiquidity premium rather than genuine edge.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming Liga Promerica game between Deportivo Saprissa and Guadalupe FC, scheduled for April 22 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Deportivo Saprissa and Guadalupe FC combine to score 2 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 2, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on unafut.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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Regime

Trade