Deportivo Saprissa vs. Guadalupe FC: O/U 2.5
Prediction markets currently give a 67% probability that Deportivo Saprissa vs. Guadalupe FC: O/U 2.5. This contract trades at 67¢ on Polymarket, closing April 23, 2026. This market exhibits severe illiquidity concerns with zero 24-hour volume despite $65,649 open interest and an extraordinarily wide 73¢ spread, suggesting the 53¢ price may not reflect true market consensus.
Analysis
This market exhibits severe illiquidity concerns with zero 24-hour volume despite $65,649 open interest and an extraordinarily wide 73¢ spread, suggesting the 53¢ price may not reflect true market consensus. The astronomical implied yields (5419% for Yes, 6891% for No) are artifacts of minimal trading activity rather than genuine arbitrage opportunities, and the 343% realized volatility indicates extreme price instability in a market closing in just 6 days. With a Cliff Risk Index of 1 and the match scheduled for April 22, this appears to be a low-liquidity niche market where any trade could dramatically move prices, making it unsuitable for serious capital allocation.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming Liga Promerica game between Deportivo Saprissa and Guadalupe FC, scheduled for April 22 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Deportivo Saprissa and Guadalupe FC combine to score 3 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on unafut.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Indicators
▶ Full indicator table (3)▼ Full indicator table (3)
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Adj IY | 50000% |
| CRI | 2 |
| Overround | 2.7% |
Regime
Trade
sf trade 0xd6d5104677f0371fe083740ae916ba02f1d50e8f1063ad7df495d26538a68aa4 yes 100