SimpleFunctions
PolymarketAug 31, 2026114 days left

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?

This contract is priced at 14¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 8¢ bid, 20¢ ask, 12¢ spread.

Implied probability

14¢
$1K volume
$1K liquidity
4% of event volume

Event outcomes

8

Family volume

$31K

Best sibling

600k+ 33¢

Ticker

0x75a8e7e2…96cb

Market snapshot

400k-450k in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?. The displayed quote is 14¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $1K. In the Drake 'Iceman' First Week Album Sales? family, this outcome ranks #4 of 8 by current quote across 8 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 9:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

400k-450k

Family rank

#4 of 8

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

14¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Aug 31, 2026

Reported volume

$1K

Family context

8 outcomes · Drake 'Iceman' First Week Album Sales?

Quote range

2¢-33¢

Family leader

600k+ 33¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 9:53 AM UTC · 4m ago

Venue identifier: 0x75a8e7e2983cb2a0c0363e2bbf30bbd7719ada40b7b04c2ef2d43b06a61d96cb. Family volume: $31K.

Price history

14¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 1, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

8 / 20¢

Polymarket
12¢ spread
BidSize
8¢7
4¢10
4¢10
3¢5
2¢563
2¢100
2¢250
2¢137
AskSize
20¢100
20¢6
25¢65
27¢15
28¢10
28¢30
29¢20
30¢20

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

Drake's new album 'Iceman' is expected to release in the summer of 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Drake's album 'Iceman', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Iceman' has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Aug 31, 2026

Identifier

0x75a8e7e2…96cb

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1973.9%

IY (No)

52.3%

Adj IY

282%

CRI

6

RV

479%

VR

1.12

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1973.9%
52.3%
Adj IY
282%
6
RV
479%
VR
1.12
IAR
0.5/h
Overround
0.2%
LAS
0.86

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