SimpleFunctions
PolymarketAug 31, 2026114 days left

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?

This contract is priced at 12¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 9¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 6¢ spread.

Implied probability

12¢
$5K volume
$1K liquidity
17% of event volume

Event outcomes

8

Family volume

$31K

Best sibling

600k+ 33¢

Ticker

0xb2d1e618…2e05

Market snapshot

500k-550k in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?. The displayed quote is 12¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $46. In the Drake 'Iceman' First Week Album Sales? family, this outcome ranks #5 of 8 by current quote across 8 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

500k-550k

Family rank

#5 of 8

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

12¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Aug 31, 2026

24h volume

$46

Family context

8 outcomes · Drake 'Iceman' First Week Album Sales?

Quote range

2¢-33¢

Family leader

600k+ 33¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 7m ago

Venue identifier: 0xb2d1e618740baed3f3a6bcd843938622e675273cd9ef6bdb5b2de4b2eca72e05. Family volume: $31K.

Price history

12¢ current

2¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 1, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

9 / 15¢

Polymarket
6¢ spread
BidSize
9¢662
9¢100
8¢20
8¢200
8¢20
8¢20
5¢206
5¢13
AskSize
15¢11
15¢21
15¢73
20¢93
20¢11
31¢50
31¢30
36¢100

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

Drake's new album 'Iceman' is expected to release in the summer of 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Drake's album 'Iceman', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Iceman' has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Aug 31, 2026

Identifier

0xb2d1e618…2e05

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2352.4%

IY (No)

43.7%

Adj IY

1176%

CRI

7

Overround

0.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2352.4%
43.7%
Adj IY
1176%
7
Overround
0.2%

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