The Golden Globes are presented annually by Dick Clark Productions. For the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 8, 2025, and the ceremony for January 11, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the Golden Globe Awards and the official Golden Globes website (https://www.goldenglobes.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
Hamnet | 0.1% |
Z | 0.0% |
Other | 0.0% |
C | 0.0% |
D | 0.0% |
G | 0.0% |
I | 0.0% |
J | 0.0% |
Jay Kelly | 0.0% |
No Other Choice | 0.0% |
CurrentWake Up Dead Man | 0.0% |
Rental Family | 0.0% |
The Secret Agent | 0.0% |
Frankenstein | 0.0% |
Weapons | 0.0% |
U | 0.0% |
A | 0.0% |
B | 0.0% |
V | 0.0% |
W | 0.0% |
E | 0.0% |
F | 0.0% |
X | 0.0% |
Y | 0.0% |
A House of Dynamite | 0.0% |
K | 0.0% |
L | 0.0% |
N | 0.0% |
Q | 0.0% |
R | 0.0% |
S | 0.0% |
T | 0.0% |
Sentimental Value | 0.0% |
Sinners | 0.0% |
Marty Supreme | 0.0% |
It Was Just an Accident | 0.0% |
Bugonia | 0.0% |
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| 1.0% |
| $32,247 |
| Trade |
Kalshi | 1.0% | $30,199 | Trade |
Kalshi | 2.0% | $1,754 | Trade |
Kalshi | 3.0% | $67 | Trade |