This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the successor to Elon Musk as CEO of Tesla by December 31, 2025. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Tesla. The resolution source will be public statements from Tesla.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
No CEO announced in 2025 | 100.0% |
Person D | 0.0% |
CurrentZach Kirkhorn | 0.0% |
Drew Baglino | 0.0% |
Omead Afshar | 0.0% |
JB Straubel | 0.0% |
Herbert Diess | 0.0% |
Mary Barra | 0.0% |
Jim Farley | 0.0% |
Lisa Su | 0.0% |
Andy Jassy | 0.0% |
Gwynne Shotwell | 0.0% |
Li Bin | 0.0% |
William Li | 0.0% |
He Xiaopeng | 0.0% |
Lei Jun | 0.0% |
Dara Khosrowshahi | 0.0% |
Dmitri Dolgov | 0.0% |
Tekedra Mawakana | 0.0% |
Tom Zhu | 0.0% |