IR Iran to win Egypt vs IR Iran
IR Iran is priced at 27¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 27¢ bid, 31¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 3 inside Egypt vs IR Iran Winner.
Price history
27¢ current
−4¢Contract brief
If IR Iran wins the Egypt vs IR Iran professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
IR Iran
Rank
#3 of 3
Leader
Egypt 37¢
Range
27¢-37¢
Family volume
$52
Identifier
KXWCGAME-26JUN26EGYIRI-IRI
May 28, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
27¢
Ask
31¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$41
Family rank
#3 of 3
3 outcomes · Egypt vs IR Iran Winner
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Family volume
$52
Orderbook snapshot
27 / 31¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If IR Iran wins the Egypt vs IR Iran professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Identifier
KXWCGAME-26JUN26EGYIRI-IRI
Event family
Egypt vs IR Iran Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$52
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Egypt 37¢
Current share
79%
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.