SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJun 1, 202623 days left

Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in May 2026?

This contract is priced at 7¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 7¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 0¢ spread.

Implied probability

7¢
$12K volume
$4K liquidity
2% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$491K

Best sibling

2000+ 0¢

Ticker

0x204594f8…4196

Market snapshot

780-799 in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in May 2026?. The displayed quote is 7¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $774. In the Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026? family, this outcome ranks #1 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

780-799

Family rank

#1 of 16

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 1, 2026

24h volume

$774

Family context

16 outcomes · Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026?

Quote range

0¢-7¢

Family leader

780-799 7¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 8m ago

Venue identifier: 0x204594f80ea51049f285bf770c43864b1f966d12c308cefa4d26c2a8f9f64196. Family volume: $491K.

Price history

7¢ current

+6¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 12, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

7 / 7¢

Polymarket
0¢ spread
BidSize
7¢31
7¢100
7¢32
6¢500
6¢5
5¢5
4¢1.5K
3¢5
AskSize
7¢246
8¢100
9¢49
9¢60
9¢80
10¢100
10¢646
10¢100

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Identifier

0x204594f8…4196

Event family

Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$491K

Outcomes

16

Highest price

780-799 7¢

Current share

2%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

780-799

polymarket · 0x204594f80ea51049f285bf770c43864b1f966d12c308cefa4d26c2a8f9f64196

7¢$12K$7740.0

2000+

polymarket · 0x4d7130ae6dd22cc177904f0611688f398e5db89f988b5f3b897c8fc2ab0985e7

0¢$41K$5K

1680-1759

polymarket · 0x476d19717ac51e9323b7930425f17f631b7edb7142ebf45fee22d57b0d7ef8b1

0¢$39K$1K

1600-1679

polymarket · 0x59d6e547245788c7fb811eb63bb63e91bed65d8da1efbd4ef936926a71998d1e

0¢$39K$1K

1440-1479

polymarket · 0x8b8802585a8bb89846db569d51369d5cc2896e32fc6b7fce4237b7b2971d219a

0¢$36K$23K

1920-1999

polymarket · 0x5bf0baa07047a4775f87ee54fb79fa03c4b1235254a5350adb288c18a1f47401

0¢$34K$0

1760-1839

polymarket · 0x7d25c4f9ab29ee54958b342288be04f330a7ad02ccb1bad53f695f4434f44570

0¢$33K$0

1400-1439

polymarket · 0x964d895e4f821a1b28cb4037c916deed74df33f8de63dfa9fb957b0b900efe3a

0¢$32K$17K

1560-1599

polymarket · 0x8580236fe3cfa72751707758b27cefade240606aae9d2a26971b86aee6dfdf65

0¢$32K$4K

1240-1279

polymarket · 0x77132e624d83299c8d2b3f00dc524cb5e2d740a46488338db0a1b27bc8172ca7

0¢$31K$17K

460-479

polymarket · 0xc1181fc293e47c5f997307072f1d1f263f6ff7aa403bed183a983c31f66e1d1d

0¢$28K$769

160-179

polymarket · 0xc04727a94df7620252435d8487d484cd05aad2fe13c5c9a7a5ac3d00ad6317f9

0¢$27K$15K

1360-1399

polymarket · 0x1e5933ab0cdbc89baeb135ea71444d8503279d3cf052d563fac1e3aee6372b76

0¢$27K$18K

440-459

polymarket · 0x240ce702de07025c32418a4246c76d84a5b2fd56f53b364abf2e2f3517065ebb

0¢$27K$204

220-239

polymarket · 0x78a507b95c11d1d5584f2ae598fdf2eaf28b9b5a8c489e9b1a5cc8320ad98578

0¢$27K$1K

1840-1919

polymarket · 0x9eecb36e2570ce77f39bd79747dfcd0ae533e072fdfb2d10f174f23264d87c2e

0¢$26K$0

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

21310.9%

IY (No)

120.7%

Adj IY

21311%

CRI

13

RV

1628%

VR

1.04

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

21310.9%
120.7%
Adj IY
21311%
13
RV
1628%
VR
1.04
IAR
1.3/h
Overround
-0.1%
LAS
0.00

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