$1,820 to 1,859.99 · Ethereum price at May 29, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $
$1,820 to 1,859.99 is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 16 inside Ethereum price at May 29, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $.
Price history
4¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 1820-1859.99 at 5 PM EDT on May 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
$1,820 to 1,859.99
Rank
#7 of 16
Leader
$1,980 to 2,019.99 26¢
Range
1¢-26¢
Family volume
$6K
Identifier
KXETH-26MAY2917-B1840
May 28, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 27m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
4¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$179
Family rank
#7 of 16
16 outcomes · Ethereum price at May 29, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $
Closes
May 29, 2026
Family volume
$6K
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 4¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 1820-1859.99 at 5 PM EDT on May 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 29, 2026
Identifier
KXETH-26MAY2917-B1840
Event family
Ethereum price at May 29, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$6K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
$1,980 to 2,019.99 26¢
Current share
3%
$1,980 to 2,019.99
kalshi · KXETH-26MAY2917-B2000
$1,940 to 1,979.99
kalshi · KXETH-26MAY2917-B1960
$2,020 to 2,059.99
kalshi · KXETH-26MAY2917-B2040
$1,900 to 1,939.99
kalshi · KXETH-26MAY2917-B1920
$2,060 to 2,099.99
kalshi · KXETH-26MAY2917-B2080
$2,300 to 2,339.99
kalshi · KXETH-26MAY2917-B2320
$1,820 to 1,859.99
kalshi · KXETH-26MAY2917-B1840
$1,860 to 1,899.99
kalshi · KXETH-26MAY2917-B1880
$1,740 to 1,779.99
kalshi · KXETH-26MAY2917-B1760
$2,100 to 2,139.99
kalshi · KXETH-26MAY2917-B2120
$2,140 to 2,179.99
kalshi · KXETH-26MAY2917-B2160
$2,180 to 2,219.99
kalshi · KXETH-26MAY2917-B2200
$2,220 to 2,259.99
kalshi · KXETH-26MAY2917-B2240
$2,260 to 2,299.99
kalshi · KXETH-26MAY2917-B2280
$2,900 to 2,939.99
kalshi · KXETH-26MAY2917-B2920
$2,940 to 2,979.99
kalshi · KXETH-26MAY2917-B2960
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.