Ethereum price at Apr 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT
Leader sits at 23% across 7 bound outcomes, runner-up at 18%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
$1,650 to 1,689.99
Outcomes
7
winner-take-all
Runner-up
18¢
$1,610 to 1,649.99
Spread
5pp
contested
24h volume
$3K
modest
Closes
Jun 12, 2026
1 days
Venue
Kalshi
7 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Ethereum price at Jun 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT
Ethereum price at Jun 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $1,610 to 1,649.99
KXETH-26JUN1217-B1630
Ethereum price at Jun 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $1,730 to 1,769.99
KXETH-26JUN1217-B1750
Ethereum price at Jun 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $1,570 to 1,609.99
KXETH-26JUN1217-B1590
Ethereum price at Jun 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $1,530 to 1,569.99
KXETH-26JUN1217-B1550
Ethereum price at Jun 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $1,650 to 1,689.99
KXETH-26JUN1217-B1670
Ethereum price at Jun 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $1,690 to 1,729.99
KXETH-26JUN1217-B1710
Ethereum price at Jun 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $1,450 to 1,489.99
KXETH-26JUN1217-B1470
Analysis
This represents a 67% market probability that Ethereum will trade between $2,000 and $2,039.99 on May 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT. The leading probability reflects trader expectations that Ethereum will remain within a relatively tight mid-range band. The current level is primarily driven by recent price stability and open interest concentrated in the $1,960–$2,040 range across multiple contract dates. Key factors pushing this probability include macro conditions affecting crypto valuations and near-term technical support levels. The main uncertainty resolver will be actual Ethereum spot price on the specified date; traders are also monitoring adjacent price bins ($1,960–$1,999.99 and $2,040–$2,079.99), which together account for 24% probability, indicating meaningful disagreement on whether Ethereum will break above or below the leading range.
- ›Highest trading volume ($689 24h) concentrated in the $1,960–$1,999.99 bin, suggesting floor support but lower conviction than the leader
- ›The $2,000–$2,039.99 contract trades at 66¢ on Kalshi versus adjacent ranges at 18¢ and 6¢, indicating strong consensus for this specific band
- ›Multiple contracts reference June 5, 2026 at lower probabilities, showing traders expect either resolution by May 30 or potential price drift outside current ranges over six days
- ›The 11-contract structure creates winner-take-all dynamics; any price outcome outside $1,880–$2,079.99 would shift probability sharply to an unrepresented bin
- ›Total Kalshi volume across top five contracts is $1,684 over 24 hours, reflecting active but not exceptionally deep liquidity for this specific event
What moved the line
- Jun 10$1,610 to 1,649.99↑6pp11→17¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 11$1,530 to 1,569.99↓5pp9→4¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 11$1,610 to 1,649.99↓4pp17→13¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 10$1,730 to 1,769.99↓4pp9→5¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 10$1,570 to 1,609.99↑4pp11→15¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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