$2,020 or above · Ethereum price at May 29, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $
$2,020 or above is priced at 78¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 74¢ bid, 77¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 16 inside Ethereum price at May 29, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $.
Price history
78¢ current
+14¢Contract brief
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 2019.99 at 5 PM EDT on May 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
$2,020 or above
Rank
#9 of 16
Leader
$1,660 or above 99¢
Range
1¢-99¢
Family volume
$16K
Identifier
KXETHD-26MAY2917-T2019.99
May 27, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
74¢
Ask
77¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$6K
Family rank
#9 of 16
16 outcomes · Ethereum price at May 29, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $
Closes
May 29, 2026
Family volume
$16K
Orderbook snapshot
74 / 77¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 2019.99 at 5 PM EDT on May 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 29, 2026
Identifier
KXETHD-26MAY2917-T2019.99
Event family
Ethereum price at May 29, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$16K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
$1,660 or above 99¢
Current share
35%
$1,660 or above
kalshi · KXETHD-26MAY2917-T1659.99
$1,100 or above
kalshi · KXETHD-26MAY2917-T1099.99
$1,140 or above
kalshi · KXETHD-26MAY2917-T1139.99
$1,180 or above
kalshi · KXETHD-26MAY2917-T1179.99
$1,220 or above
kalshi · KXETHD-26MAY2917-T1219.99
$1,900 or above
kalshi · KXETHD-26MAY2917-T1899.99
$1,940 or above
kalshi · KXETHD-26MAY2917-T1939.99
$1,980 or above
kalshi · KXETHD-26MAY2917-T1979.99
$2,020 or above
kalshi · KXETHD-26MAY2917-T2019.99
$2,060 or above
kalshi · KXETHD-26MAY2917-T2059.99
$2,100 or above
kalshi · KXETHD-26MAY2917-T2099.99
$2,140 or above
kalshi · KXETHD-26MAY2917-T2139.99
$2,180 or above
kalshi · KXETHD-26MAY2917-T2179.99
$2,300 or above
kalshi · KXETHD-26MAY2917-T2299.99
$2,220 or above
kalshi · KXETHD-26MAY2917-T2219.99
$2,260 or above
kalshi · KXETHD-26MAY2917-T2259.99
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.