SimpleFunctions
Winner-take-all answer·17 source contracts·Kalshi 17·refreshed just now·Closes Jun 12, 2026 · 5d

Ethereum price at Apr 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT

Leader sits at 94% across 17 bound outcomes, runner-up at 93%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

94%

$1,370 or above

runner-up 93¢leader 94¢

Outcomes

17

winner-take-all

Runner-up

93¢

$1,410 or above

Spread

1pp

contested

24h volume

$28K

liquid

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

5 days

Venue

Kalshi

17 bound

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtoday$1,370 or above: 88% (3 days, 3 points)$1,370 or above: 88% on 2026-06-07$1,410 or above: 86% (3 days, 3 points)$1,410 or above: 86% on 2026-06-07$1,450 or above: 79% (3 days, 3 points)$1,450 or above: 79% on 2026-06-07
$1,370 or above88¢$1,410 or above86¢$1,450 or above79¢
Top 3 candidates by current price · 3d

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

Cluster 1

Ethereum price at Jun 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT

17 contracts$28K
OutcomePrice24hVolumeVenueDetail

Ethereum price at Jun 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $1,410 or above

KXETHD-26JUN1217-T1409.99

93¢+5pp$5KK

Ethereum price at Jun 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $1,610 or above

KXETHD-26JUN1217-T1609.99

69¢+6pp$3KK

Ethereum price at Jun 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $1,530 or above

KXETHD-26JUN1217-T1529.99

84¢+7pp$3KK

Ethereum price at Jun 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $1,970 or above

KXETHD-26JUN1217-T1969.99

3¢$2KK

Ethereum price at Jun 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $1,650 or above

KXETHD-26JUN1217-T1649.99

60¢+6pp$2KK

Ethereum price at Jun 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $1,690 or above

KXETHD-26JUN1217-T1689.99

48¢+5pp$2KK

Ethereum price at Jun 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $1,730 or above

KXETHD-26JUN1217-T1729.99

36¢+4pp$2KK

Ethereum price at Jun 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $1,570 or above

KXETHD-26JUN1217-T1569.99

77¢+6pp$2KK

Ethereum price at Jun 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $1,450 or above

KXETHD-26JUN1217-T1449.99

90¢+5pp$2KK

Ethereum price at Jun 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $1,850 or above

KXETHD-26JUN1217-T1849.99

12¢±0$1KK

Ethereum price at Jun 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $2,010 or above

KXETHD-26JUN1217-T2009.99

5¢$1KK

Ethereum price at Jun 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $1,890 or above

KXETHD-26JUN1217-T1889.99

6¢1pp$1KK

Ethereum price at Jun 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $1,770 or above

KXETHD-26JUN1217-T1769.99

27¢+3pp$863K

Ethereum price at Jun 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $1,490 or above

KXETHD-26JUN1217-T1489.99

90¢+5pp$401K

Ethereum price at Jun 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $1,810 or above

KXETHD-26JUN1217-T1809.99

20¢+3pp$307K

Ethereum price at Jun 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $1,930 or above

KXETHD-26JUN1217-T1929.99

3¢+1pp$287K

Ethereum price at Jun 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $1,370 or above

KXETHD-26JUN1217-T1369.99

94¢+4pp$16K

What moved the line

  • Jun 6$1,530 or above9pp6657¢ · Kalshi
  • Jun 6$1,650 or above8pp3426¢ · Kalshi
  • Jun 6$1,490 or above8pp7466¢ · Kalshi
  • Jun 7$1,530 or above7pp5764¢ · Kalshi
  • Jun 6$1,610 or above6pp4236¢ · Kalshi

Recently closed in bitcoin

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

More like this

Other questions in bitcoin.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: just now.