SimpleFunctions

Colombia · FIFA World Cup: Top Scorer (Nation)

Colombia is priced at 1¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #13 of 16 inside FIFA World Cup: Top Scorer (Nation).

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Price history

1¢ current

+1¢
0¢5¢10¢
May 25, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

This market will resolve to the nation that records the most total goals through all rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA World Cup rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the nation who advanced farther in the competition. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation that is listed first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA.

Outcome

Colombia

Rank

#13 of 16

Leader

France 22¢

Range

0¢-22¢

Family volume

$21K

Identifier

0xd29e2a5a...4b8b

May 28, 2026, 8:40 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

1¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 8:40 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

1¢

Ask

1¢

Spread

0¢

Reported volume

$968

Family rank

#13 of 16

16 outcomes · FIFA World Cup: Top Scorer (Nation)

Closes

Aug 3, 2026

Family volume

$21K

Orderbook snapshot

1 / 1¢

Polymarket
0¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.1K
100¢245
100¢250
0¢150
0¢365
AskSize
3¢250
10¢100
10¢75
14¢3.0K
14¢150
20¢30
20¢20
100¢20

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market will resolve to the nation that records the most total goals through all rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA World Cup rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the nation who advanced farther in the competition. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation that is listed first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Aug 3, 2026

Identifier

0xd29e2a5a…4b8b

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

FIFA World Cup: Top Scorer (Nation).

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$21K

Outcomes

16

Highest price

France 22¢

Current share

5%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

France

polymarket · 0xb8444fb816c7ad24dd4405c912451cf437cdedfa4408e5894eca94944be9aeb9

22¢
$3K$230.2

England

polymarket · 0x955cf6a40141e288e3ba630b33ecde4bdef35f1702ad8424e11ad51e01ab1109

17¢
$1K$00.1

Spain

polymarket · 0x5cd13d5a537f34aa20502377e31e7b7db09fcd47450bba08606db26e6c1a38bf

15¢
$1K$00.1

Argentina

polymarket · 0x03dba6b5c5bf9fc59323fb8cb9e95949fa18fd6da60cbcaa0273e5ce81c2abc9

13¢
$1K$320.2

Germany

polymarket · 0xee49b84542384e31b287067f98789cd01b8f3d1827077523c3f06421566529e0

11¢
$1K$00.1

Brazil

polymarket · 0xdf51227511c10c0f331ecbed0d95cca320ba8c0bd6223957bf4b5f50c33d2e3a

10¢
$929$0—

Portugal

polymarket · 0x2431b6fdfb72ff0271407b1855601c057983c8ba3d33eba021c19c7a98cfce63

6¢
$2K$00.3

Norway

polymarket · 0xb1310bc2d0a325738b9e7c5fc1d8491caa459f5c08f5687ed17e09fff1d7718f

5¢
$3K$1720.4

Netherlands

polymarket · 0x3ff075bd836664ba90a647fbd2f5cc784370623e4b0610ffe9447192e94d7aa7

3¢
$930$240.7

Mexico

polymarket · 0xfdcd361f6d9f400bd56f39d9b6e8edaecaf51044161d399a7705363047a1b247

3¢
$881$01.3

Belgium

polymarket · 0x6dd30fcc606070eb95cb81a3863a7293a7ed5014592415f4b3fa9f848189e35b

3¢
$869$00.0

Morocco

polymarket · 0xe3398aca19ef3eba51a36ce2eaa124fff7225f495596eb572f1ddc27aa12fb8a

2¢
$732$0—

Colombia

polymarket · 0xd29e2a5a5b3d839171e4dbcf3f782f6ee942e9e352ce4a0a2d7a5e8671354b8b

1¢
$968$0—

Japan

polymarket · 0x095c2e0e9cebe004c1847f8bd6e436e1f65702867fee67926938d104a82f9e43

1¢
$869$0—

United States

polymarket · 0xe441df14890b26343247abe2eabc9bf7ecd219fcbbcdfbc002bc7c43225c6d48

1¢
$843$0—

Uruguay

polymarket · 0xe7d71ed803e1520eb5fc47a35481a110e0fe1bb9e3e323dd1db64ead420d98e2

0¢
$755$0—

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

Prediction Market Index

Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.

Market Screener

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Event Probability API

Read 1% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.

Realtime Data API

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World State API

Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.

Hedging Workflows

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.