SimpleFunctions
PolymarketAug 18, 2026101 days left

Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?

This contract is priced at 87¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 84¢ bid, 88¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Implied probability

87¢
$35K volume
$13K liquidity
26% of event volume

Event outcomes

8

Family volume

$136K

Best sibling

Jared Moskowitz 1¢

Ticker

0xb73f32c2…5caf

Market snapshot

Alexander Vindman in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?. The displayed quote is 87¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $35K. In the Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #1 of 8 by current quote across 8 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Alexander Vindman

Family rank

#1 of 8

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

87¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Aug 18, 2026

Reported volume

$35K

Family context

8 outcomes · Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Quote range

0¢-85¢

Family leader

Alexander Vindman 85¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 11m ago

Venue identifier: 0xb73f32c2884c65f5dae192c33bef3f7ce3faeec4ad313d2d3a6ad62ea2c95caf. Family volume: $136K.

Price history

87¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

84 / 88¢

Polymarket
4¢ spread
BidSize
84¢60
84¢30
84¢100
83¢66
83¢55
83¢28
77¢11
50¢188
AskSize
88¢16
88¢26
88¢34
89¢53
89¢84
93¢155
93¢10
93¢9

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Aug 18, 2026

Identifier

0xb73f32c2…5caf

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on kalshi at 86¢, +1¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

59.0%

IY (No)

2226.7%

Adj IY

2227%

CRI

6

RV

122%

VR

1.58

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

59.0%
2226.7%
Adj IY
2227%
6
RV
122%
VR
1.58
IAR
1.0/h

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