Benjamin Lucas-Lundy to win France United Left Primary
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy is priced at 2¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 6 inside France United Left Primary Winner.
Price history
2¢ current
Contract brief
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election. This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify. If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Outcome
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
Rank
#4 of 6
Leader
Canceled 56¢
Range
0¢-56¢
Family volume
$60K
Identifier
0xa9ae531c...3344
May 28, 2026, 6:48 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
3¢
Spread
3¢
Reported volume
$239
Family rank
#4 of 6
6 outcomes · France United Left Primary Winner
Closes
Oct 11, 2026
Family volume
$60K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 3¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election. This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify. If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Oct 11, 2026
Identifier
0xa9ae531c…3344
Event family
France United Left Primary Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$60K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Canceled 56¢
Current share
0%
Canceled
polymarket · 0x4a8be083c607742c3ab1493d01075009865f5fc8cfbb0563370a8f0bea8cae74
Marine Tondelier
polymarket · 0x4978aacddbbb3b70611c7f1fea76a54a698b02a6dbea9ef38275f7e3147868ce
François Ruffin
polymarket · 0xa477ec9c784c00561788cafb0301819e07d17c2ecd398df702aadaef3bef5c41
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
polymarket · 0xa9ae531c3b54b55c51fd8a481d330bd3baab6d190b53de22cc83844163673344
Clémentine Autain
polymarket · 0x5d41eb4bfd60060736889586b701e6b2048d797d13b3f2a8db9696ded99ed6be
Lydie Massard
polymarket · 0x21b6425a17c08cd0591b06aa70557091efbe42a3a4ee419ee397518db9de3af1
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
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