Francesca Hennessy to win Francesca Hennessy vs Aurora De Persio
Francesca Hennessy is priced at 94¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 92¢ bid, 94¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside Francesca Hennessy vs Aurora De Persio Winner.
Price history
94¢ current
+92¢Contract brief
If Francesca Hennessy wins the Francesca Hennessy vs Aurora De Persio boxing match originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Francesca Hennessy
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Francesca Hennessy 92¢
Range
6¢-92¢
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXBOXING-26MAY30HENNESPERSIO-HENNES
May 28, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
92¢
Ask
94¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · Francesca Hennessy vs Aurora De Persio Winner
Closes
Jun 13, 2026
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
92 / 94¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Francesca Hennessy wins the Francesca Hennessy vs Aurora De Persio boxing match originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 13, 2026
Identifier
KXBOXING-26MAY30HENNESPERSIO-HENNES
Event family
Francesca Hennessy vs Aurora De Persio Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Francesca Hennessy 92¢
Current share
47%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.