What is the current probability for "Freiburg at Stuttgart: Totals"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 99¢ (99% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 7, 2026. 14 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Freiburg at Stuttgart: Totals"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 1122.8% and 6113.0% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Freiburg at Stuttgart: Totals"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Freiburg at Stuttgart: Totals

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 99% probability that Freiburg at Stuttgart: Totals. This contract trades at 99¢ on Kalshi, closing May 7, 2026.

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99¢

Bid/Ask 99/100¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $10,546.65·OI $6,250.96·Closes May 7, 2026·14d remaining

KXDFBPOKALTOTAL-26APR23VFBSCF-1

7-day price30 snapshots · 4 regime

99¢99¢ current

Apr 2231¢Apr 23

Resolution rules

If Freiburg and Stuttgart collectively score more than 1.5 total goals in the Stuttgart vs Freiburg professional DFB Pokal soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 23, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1122.8%

IY (No) 6113.0%

Adj IY 5677%

CRI 2

RV 3350%

VR 7.71

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	1122.8%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	6113.0%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	5677%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	2	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	3350%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	7.71	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.0/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	0.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.07	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/23/2026, 8:53:23 PM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/23/2026, 8:23:13 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXDFBPOKALTOTAL-26APR23VFBSCF-1 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

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