SimpleFunctions
PolymarketMay 19, 202615 days left

Will Victor Hill be the Democratic Nominee for GA-05?

This contract is priced at 1¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 2¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

1¢
$1K volume
$2K liquidity
15% of event volume

Event outcomes

4

Family volume

$7K

Best sibling

Nikema Williams 98¢

Ticker

0x533dcbcb…1e48

Price history

1¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 12, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 2¢

Polymarket
2¢ spread
BidSize
0¢1.1K
0¢550
0¢320
AskSize
2¢90
7¢11
7¢80
14¢6
57¢209
57¢10
57¢68
65¢425

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

May 19, 2026

Identifier

0x533dcbcb…1e48

Event family

GA-05 Democratic Primary Winner.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$7K

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Nikema Williams 98¢

Current share

15%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

56805.7%

IY (No)

98.6%

Adj IY

28403%

CRI

24

RV

22075%

VR

3.64

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

56805.7%
98.6%
Adj IY
28403%
24
RV
22075%
VR
3.64
IAR
1.8/h
LAS
0.50

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