Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?
This contract is priced at 40¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 36¢ bid, 43¢ ask, 7¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
3
Family volume
$321K
Best sibling
June 30 33¢
Ticker
0xeb622a49…c6d1
Market snapshot
July 31 in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?. The displayed quote is 40¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $24. In the Gemini 3.5 released by...? family, this outcome ranks #1 of 3 by current quote across 3 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC.
Outcome
July 31
Family rank
#1 of 3
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
40¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jul 31, 2026
24h volume
$24
Family context
3 outcomes · Gemini 3.5 released by...?
Quote range
15¢-40¢
Family leader
July 31 40¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 14m ago
Venue identifier: 0xeb622a490bcf56e4760070ab67e77430dc4a1c9e7b2f0fec6e177c4917fcc6d1. Family volume: $321K.
Price history
40¢ current
−11¢Orderbook snapshot
36 / 43¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.5 model is made available to the general public by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. Gemini 3.5 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.5 (e.g., Gemini 3.5 Pro would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3, similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 2.5. Products labeled as Gemini 4 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. Additional Gemini 3 models (e.g. a release of Gemini 3 Flash-lite) will not count. The release of models such as Gemini 3.2 does not meet the standard of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jul 31, 2026
Identifier
0xeb622a49…c6d1
Event family
Gemini 3.5 released by.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$321K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
July 31 40¢
Current share
0%
July 31
polymarket · 0xeb622a490bcf56e4760070ab67e77430dc4a1c9e7b2f0fec6e177c4917fcc6d1
June 30
polymarket · 0x4370803e1beb74348ca8c60867808df202458112f43ab79000d477bd1074d519
May 31
polymarket · 0x009cb79c526eff4af80e0e568c648a165a837c0417f4e1de3cde02bfc4a3ab42
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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