Germany to win Germany vs Ivory Coast
Germany is priced at 63¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 60¢ bid, 63¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner.
Price history
63¢ current
+22¢Contract brief
If Germany wins the Germany vs Ivory Coast professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 20, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Germany
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
Germany 60¢
Range
13¢-60¢
Family volume
$41
Identifier
KXWCGAME-26JUN20GERCIV-GER
May 25, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
60¢
Ask
63¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$25
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner
Closes
Jul 4, 2026
Family volume
$41
Orderbook snapshot
60 / 63¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Germany wins the Germany vs Ivory Coast professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 20, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 4, 2026
Identifier
KXWCGAME-26JUN20GERCIV-GER
Event family
Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$41
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Germany 60¢
Current share
60%
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.