Ghana to win Ghana vs Panama
Ghana is priced at 51¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 49¢ bid, 50¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Ghana vs Panama Winner.
Price history
51¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If Ghana wins the Ghana vs Panama professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Ghana
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
Ghana 49¢
Range
23¢-49¢
Family volume
$47
Identifier
KXWCGAME-26JUN17GHAPAN-GHA
May 24, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 1m ago
Implied probability
Bid
49¢
Ask
50¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$30
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · Ghana vs Panama Winner
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Family volume
$47
Orderbook snapshot
49 / 50¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Ghana wins the Ghana vs Panama professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Identifier
KXWCGAME-26JUN17GHAPAN-GHA
Event family
Ghana vs Panama Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$47
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Ghana 49¢
Current share
64%
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.