Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?
This contract is priced at 99¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 98¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 2¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
7
Family volume
$249K
Best sibling
Michael 0¢
Ticker
0xc31a2b81…3a29
Market snapshot
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?. The displayed quote is 99¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $32K. In the Highest Domestically Grossing April Film on May 31? family, this outcome ranks #1 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:49 AM UTC.
Outcome
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
Family rank
#1 of 7
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
99¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 31, 2026
Reported volume
$32K
Family context
7 outcomes · Highest Domestically Grossing April Film on May 31?
Quote range
0¢-99¢
Family leader
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 99¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 6:49 AM UTC · 0m ago
Venue identifier: 0xc31a2b8108095d44b03f070d8b473460988faff601b94e0ee3d7d832de253a29. Family volume: $249K.
Price history
99¢ current
Orderbook snapshot
98 / 100¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the title of the film released in April 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and May 30, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 31, 2026
Identifier
0xc31a2b81…3a29
Event family
Highest Domestically Grossing April Film on May 31.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$249K
Outcomes
7
Highest price
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 99¢
Current share
13%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
polymarket · 0xc31a2b8108095d44b03f070d8b473460988faff601b94e0ee3d7d832de253a29
Michael
polymarket · 0xcf4dab4fc1109714e3f0e43e6766baadb7f42496448d6a2afe6c0bf10c3a6646
Wasteland Cop
polymarket · 0x911ba6b03338eadb70effb8e98f4b684ab9b204a2e9a5cde3acda26f4a83e3bd
You, Me & Tuscany
polymarket · 0x0bdf0c8c103d2251e6aa4b39991ef5d6a453b2a496362e6cd40a26d820551449
The Whistler
polymarket · 0xc39b846e59520e7b68133fe1bc5deb845109087bc07e1e78edc763a4dc08150f
Mother Mary
polymarket · 0x264dde20ff3f1e330c069a73fcc52ce93f0b2d05b23ca9664d2bdd594a625b8d
Lorne
polymarket · 0xa8c9226abcc0064312d0a1a27a59b130bea025ee732f870d7a5fc9ef3ba36162
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
MCP Servers for Prediction Markets: Connect Claude Code to Kalshi and Polymarket
Connect Claude Code, Cursor, or Cline to Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets via MCP. One-line setup, 18 tools, real-time market data for AI agents.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 99% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.