Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
This contract is priced at 56¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 54¢ bid, 58¢ ask, 4¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
7
Family volume
$77K
Best sibling
<2s 1¢
Ticker
0xdbe51d73…0282
Price history
56¢ current
+30¢Orderbook snapshot
54 / 58¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify. If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”. If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only". Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact. If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Qualifying Requirements: The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person. Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted). The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish. Non-qualifying examples: Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings. Any handshake that is too unclear to measure. Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration. The resolution source will be video footage.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0xdbe51d73…0282
Event family
How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$77K
Outcomes
7
Highest price
15s+ 56¢
Current share
16%
15s+
polymarket · 0xdbe51d73ec97dc8c38299b83d01a0bf4c4f4f882ff493da3ef6c4dc763a30282
<2s
polymarket · 0xaf0968e71a6c69f0fe0804ebbacce20ab556a737233b2abc2744821ef71638c9
Photographed only
polymarket · 0x2d1e4d7a187483fb8c20b9b3232fa507e6a7f8f3508adf4970faebae536a50b6
No Handshake
polymarket · 0xbdfaa0eee43e1e883f71dd83167ed43c2bf54844dc8953cc4afb99f242e8aa4d
2–6s
polymarket · 0x7200d6862cf624a0d0f8de09f4a783f779cabc6bff76c75a3bf6b0f256530fb1
10–15s
polymarket · 0xcc25820f3f0e3a82ef8af107c547a25373f8798e7ef2776877fabd6da90c341b
6–10s
polymarket · 0xe33f8b9461b5ed188dab3c5cc43750e72c04d1f9570288b75132cd7866495f8f
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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