How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting
How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
4¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
If there are exactly 3 dissenting votes at the next scheduled FOMC meeting (scheduled for June 17, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$12K
Identifier
KXFOMCDISSENTCOUNT-26JUN-3
Jun 17, 2026, 3:51 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
5¢
Ask
6¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jun 17, 2026
Family volume
$12K
Orderbook snapshot
5 / 6¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If there are exactly 3 dissenting votes at the next scheduled FOMC meeting (scheduled for June 17, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 17, 2026
Identifier
KXFOMCDISSENTCOUNT-26JUN-3
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$12K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting 4¢
Current share
100%
How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting
kalshi · KXFOMCDISSENTCOUNT-26JUN-3
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.6
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
How Bitcoin & Ethereum Crypto 2026 Price Prediction Markets Are Pricing the Next Leg of the Cycle
Deep-dive for crypto investors and traders into Bitcoin and Ethereum 2026 price prediction markets. Learn how BTC/ETH halving base rates, ETF flows, DeFi/L2 growth, and global regulation shape market-implied odds for 2026 price targets.
US Oil Sanctions on Venezuela, Iran, and Russia in 2026: How Prediction Markets Are Pricing the Next Shock
A deep-dive into US oil sanctions on Venezuela, Iran, and Russia heading into 2026—covering Trump 2.0 policy, secondary sanctions, shadow fleets, global oil balances, European energy security, India/China behavior, and how prediction markets are pricing the next shock.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
How to Scan Prediction Market Orderbooks: Spread, Depth, and Liquidity Analysis
Practical guide to analyzing orderbook data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Learn spread, depth, liquidity scoring, and executable edge calculation.
Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State
Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 4% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.