Sai Sudharsan to win IPL: Orange Cap
Sai Sudharsan is priced at 26¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 24¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 5 inside IPL: Orange Cap Winner.
Price history
26¢ current
−6¢Contract brief
This market will resolve according to the player who scores the most runs during the 2026 IPL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the IPL. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher strike rate during the 2026 IPL season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 IPL season is cancelled, postponed after June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from IPL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcome
Sai Sudharsan
Rank
#3 of 5
Leader
Shubman Gill 38¢
Range
0¢-38¢
Family volume
$33K
Identifier
0xe68b5fba...d26e
May 29, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 12m ago
Implied probability
Bid
24¢
Ask
28¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#3 of 5
5 outcomes · IPL: Orange Cap Winner
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
Family volume
$33K
Orderbook snapshot
24 / 28¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve according to the player who scores the most runs during the 2026 IPL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the IPL. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher strike rate during the 2026 IPL season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 IPL season is cancelled, postponed after June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from IPL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
Identifier
0xe68b5fba…d26e
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on kalshi at 18¢, +8¢ versus this page.
Event family
IPL: Orange Cap Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$33K
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Shubman Gill 38¢
Current share
7%
Shubman Gill
polymarket · 0x0b7b1087838bf8a1947fcfed7b1e77e3a341eec0d7a7cbfa0df00402669a0950
Vaibhav Sooryavanshi
polymarket · 0x3717c8ca2cbc1acd035da38c0bf1a7696189f43de38d0cc7591e697d9c7fa5f5
Sai Sudharsan
polymarket · 0xe68b5fbaca7f16a804864a31f1480a998dfe73a801589c5189041eaa556bd26e
Yashasvi Jaiswal
polymarket · 0x643751355dd06353bbdcc27e969c23a5be45cf09f28a8b44b717585b70596b98
Virat Kohli
polymarket · 0x3a2c177ee94af0a6d1fcd99e5a7d5ffd6a995b75f3f66fb277303e1659cc3357
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.