Mohammed Sira to win IPL: Purple Cap
Mohammed Sira is priced at 3¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 5¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 10 inside IPL: Purple Cap Winner.
Price history
3¢ current
−32¢Contract brief
This market will resolve according to the bowler with the most wickets during the 2026 IPL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the IPL. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the bowler with the lower bowling average during the 2026 IPL season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 IPL Purple Cap per the rules of IPL (e.g., they are unable to record the most wickets due to injury, disqualification), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 IPL season is cancelled, postponed after June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from IPL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcome
Mohammed Sira
Rank
#3 of 10
Leader
Kagiso Rabada 57¢
Range
0¢-57¢
Family volume
$4K
Identifier
0xcee1daa6...bcf6
May 29, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
5¢
Spread
5¢
24h volume
$393
Family rank
#3 of 10
10 outcomes · IPL: Purple Cap Winner
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
Family volume
$4K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 5¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve according to the bowler with the most wickets during the 2026 IPL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the IPL. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the bowler with the lower bowling average during the 2026 IPL season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 IPL Purple Cap per the rules of IPL (e.g., they are unable to record the most wickets due to injury, disqualification), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 IPL season is cancelled, postponed after June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from IPL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
Identifier
0xcee1daa6…bcf6
Event family
IPL: Purple Cap Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$4K
Outcomes
10
Highest price
Kagiso Rabada 57¢
Current share
10%
Kagiso Rabada
polymarket · 0x6be25342d707186fbf2ab3e511a95e461768edc8a06e038ec07ce7c5822d1b6a
Bhuvneshwar Kumar
polymarket · 0x7c172b75faee3cb312a5e1b323c5e76712b0049e87cc63652acd6efb987b8ba8
Mohammed Sira
polymarket · 0xcee1daa676afe0db72359ca1304c4a69dd39bcd893d3c377919815262275bcf6
Krunal Pandya
polymarket · 0x723ac0ee169ad48029f813a267145274e9713daadea6f355adc97a6aa330f8b9
Prasidh Krishna
polymarket · 0x0baba3e0ef6ae4b6dbb82c11c42d910e5c24e322599cb9e04b4bec7d30ff3098
Josh Hazlewood
polymarket · 0xb4fca8877bb64c2d726ef7b195cbfbf0e1b7a8756d54de3f1c6f61a14efb205d
Rashid Khan
polymarket · 0xecaf0b51a92029d09c1f8566d4547f5a4f5a5c65f31d2c34e09ebc8a26e7347e
Jofra Archer
polymarket · 0x0e92bd99803e50b847bdc60bc0dc20795cf5d05e7f53127dd1a4025c0ace2b1e
Ravi Bishnoi
polymarket · 0x8b6585fe0a4d73094dd8dd456f0d63a05fe5167d86f6cde666a269269a3d5a4b
Nandre Burger
polymarket · 0x782a99df677ed497ffadc9cfc01db52c6d64061f2da61b6369c93d17950fae12
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.