IR Iran vs New Zealand Winner?
This contract is priced at 37¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 21¢ bid, 29¢ ask, 8¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
3
Family volume
$340
Best sibling
New Zealand 14¢
Ticker
KXWCGAME-26JUN15IRINZL-TIE
Market snapshot
Tie in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for IR Iran vs New Zealand Winner?. The displayed quote is 37¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $114. In the IR Iran vs New Zealand Winner family, this outcome ranks #2 of 3 by current quote across 3 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
Tie
Family rank
#2 of 3
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
37¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jun 30, 2026
Reported volume
$114
Family context
3 outcomes · IR Iran vs New Zealand Winner
Quote range
14¢-51¢
Family leader
IR Iran 51¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 13m ago
Venue identifier: KXWCGAME-26JUN15IRINZL-TIE. Family volume: $340.
Price history
37¢ current
+32¢Orderbook snapshot
21 / 29¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Tie wins the IR Iran vs New Zealand professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Identifier
KXWCGAME-26JUN15IRINZL-TIE
Event family
IR Iran vs New Zealand Winner.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$340
Outcomes
3
Highest price
IR Iran 51¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026
Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ
Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens
Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
US Oil Sanctions on Venezuela, Iran, and Russia in 2026: How Prediction Markets Are Pricing the Next Shock
A deep-dive into US oil sanctions on Venezuela, Iran, and Russia heading into 2026—covering Trump 2.0 policy, secondary sanctions, shadow fleets, global oil balances, European energy security, India/China behavior, and how prediction markets are pricing the next shock.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 37% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.