Ivory Coast to win Ivory Coast vs Ecuador
Ivory Coast is priced at 26¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 25¢ bid, 26¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 3 inside Ivory Coast vs Ecuador Winner.
Price history
26¢ current
Contract brief
If Ivory Coast wins the Ivory Coast vs Ecuador professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Ivory Coast
Rank
#3 of 3
Leader
Ecuador 41¢
Range
25¢-41¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXWCGAME-26JUN14CIVECU-CIV
May 24, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 24m ago
Implied probability
Bid
25¢
Ask
26¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$33
Family rank
#3 of 3
3 outcomes · Ivory Coast vs Ecuador Winner
Closes
Jun 28, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
25 / 26¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Ivory Coast wins the Ivory Coast vs Ecuador professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 28, 2026
Identifier
KXWCGAME-26JUN14CIVECU-CIV
Event family
Ivory Coast vs Ecuador Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Ecuador 41¢
Current share
3%
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.