SimpleFunctions

Total Games for Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

42.5 games is priced at 32¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 21¢ bid, 43¢ ask, 22¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 3 inside Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic: Total Games: Over.

Price history

32¢ current

+11¢
20¢30¢
May 27, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If the number of completed games in the full match is above 42.5 in the Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

42.5 games

Rank

#3 of 3

Leader

37.5 games 54¢

Range

21¢-54¢

Family volume

$4K

Identifier

KXATPGTOTAL-26MAY29FONDJO-43

May 28, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 10m ago

Implied probability

32¢
Bid/ask midpoint
May 28, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 10m ago

Bid

21¢

Ask

43¢

Spread

22¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#3 of 3

3 outcomes · Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic: Total Games: Over

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Family volume

$4K

Orderbook snapshot

21 / 43¢

Kalshi
22¢ spread
BidSize
21¢10
20¢10
11¢1
8¢1
5¢1
AskSize
43¢10
74¢1
79¢17
80¢10
84¢1

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the number of completed games in the full match is above 42.5 in the Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Identifier

KXATPGTOTAL-26MAY29FONDJO-43

SF Signal
SF Index
4703.03
Regime
neutral

Event family

Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic: Total Games: Over.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$4K

Outcomes

3

Highest price

37.5 games 54¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

9406.1%

IY (No)

664.6%

Adj IY

4703%

CRI

4

Overround

-0.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

9406.1%
664.6%
Adj IY
4703%
4
Overround
-0.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.