Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?
This contract is priced at 73¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 60¢ bid, 86¢ ask, 26¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
3
Family volume
$334
Best sibling
Jordan 14¢
Ticker
0xb465c0d9…1a12
Market snapshot
Argentina in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?. The displayed quote is 73¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $27. In the Jordan vs. Argentina family, this outcome ranks #1 of 3 by current quote across 3 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
Argentina
Family rank
#1 of 3
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
73¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jun 28, 2026
Reported volume
$27
Family context
3 outcomes · Jordan vs. Argentina
Quote range
14¢-73¢
Family leader
Argentina 73¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC · 1m ago
Venue identifier: 0xb465c0d920be7fa9413909befc3989247de10a1d4feca2621bb36f9a62191a12. Family volume: $334.
Price history
73¢ current
+1¢Orderbook snapshot
60 / 86¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 27, 2026 If Argentina wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 28, 2026
Identifier
0xb465c0d9…1a12
Event family
Jordan vs. Argentina.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$334
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Argentina 73¢
Current share
8%
Argentina
polymarket · 0xb465c0d920be7fa9413909befc3989247de10a1d4feca2621bb36f9a62191a12
Jordan
polymarket · 0x26b822b926feab4068f42bf2d0750fb8a65e09462c8edf1159275c2a116081ea
Draw (Jordan vs. Argentina)
polymarket · 0x7815af57ea657fd0442932a788988b7f6c219a46903e4bce678981b801daf8a4
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome
When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Liquidity Migration Across Resolution: Where the Money Goes When a Market Closes
When a flagship prediction market closes, the capital that was in it migrates to next-period siblings, adjacent categories, or off the venue entirely. Three migration patterns and the receiving-market opportunity.
Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026
Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 73% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.