SimpleFunctions
PolymarketDec 31, 2026241 days left

Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?

This contract is priced at 17¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 16¢ bid, 20¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Implied probability

17¢
$46K volume
$12K liquidity
58% of event volume

Event outcomes

2

Family volume

$79K

Best sibling

June 30 5¢

Ticker

0x72f0b7cc…1c44

Price history

17¢ current

3¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

16 / 20¢

Polymarket
4¢ spread
BidSize
16¢30
15¢100
14¢23
13¢392
12¢1.1K
11¢150
9¢67
8¢208
AskSize
20¢50
21¢84
22¢64
24¢136
25¢1.2K
26¢12
27¢16
28¢11

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

Ramzan Kadyrov is currently serving as the Head of the Chechen Republic, the highest political office of the Chechen Republic, a Republic of Russia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ramzan Kadyrov ceases to be Head of the Chechen Republic for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Ramzan Kadyrov will be considered to cease being the Head of the Chechen Republic if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Head of the Chechen Republic within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chechen Republic and the Russian Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

0x72f0b7cc…1c44

Event family

Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$79K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

December 31 17¢

Current share

58%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

739.1%

IY (No)

31.0%

Adj IY

739%

CRI

5

RV

778%

VR

3.31

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

739.1%
31.0%
Adj IY
739%
5
RV
778%
VR
3.31
IAR
2.3/h

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