SimpleFunctions
PolymarketDec 31, 2026

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

This contract is priced at 1¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 0¢ spread.

Implied probability

1¢
$297K volume
$91K liquidity
12% of event volume

Event outcomes

8

Family volume

$2.5M

Best sibling

NVIDIA 52¢

Ticker

0xa0bc0c7d…412e

Price history

1¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 1, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

1 / 1¢

Polymarket
0¢ spread
BidSize
100¢18K
100¢2.9K
0¢2.6M
0¢537K
0¢32K
0¢6.7K
AskSize
100¢2.9K
100¢11K
100¢510
100¢150
100¢68
100¢175
100¢416
100¢119

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

0xa0bc0c7d…412e

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

financial

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