What is the current probability for "Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 7¢ (7% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on December 31, 2026. 241 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 2009.4% and 11.4% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

PolymarketDec 31, 2026241 days left

Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 7¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 7¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Open on Polymarket JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

7¢

$7K volume

$28K liquidity

100% of event volume

Event outcomes

Family volume

$7K

Best sibling

—

Ticker

0xd69b811e…ac2b

Price history

7¢ current

−2¢

Apr 9, 2026May 2, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

7 / 8¢

Polymarket

1¢ spread

BidSize

7¢14

7¢30

6¢805

6¢100

6¢258

6¢194

6¢25

6¢15

AskSize

8¢300

8¢295

9¢118

10¢5

11¢100

13¢100

15¢200

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

0xd69b811e…ac2b

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on kalshi at 85¢, -78¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Event family

This market.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$7K

Outcomes

Highest price