SimpleFunctions

Will Cameron Smith finish top 10 for LIV Golf Korea

Cameron Smith is priced at 49¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 16¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 82¢ spread. This outcome ranks #11 of 16 inside LIV Golf Korea.

Price history

49¢ current

+30¢
25¢50¢
May 26, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Cameron Smith finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf Korea, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Cameron Smith

Rank

#11 of 16

Leader

Dean Burmester 75¢

Range

2¢-75¢

Family volume

$3K

Identifier

KXLIVTOP10-LIGK26-CSMI

May 28, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 10m ago

Implied probability

49¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 10m ago

Bid

16¢

Ask

98¢

Spread

82¢

24h volume

$377

Family rank

#11 of 16

16 outcomes · LIV Golf Korea

Closes

Jun 28, 2026

Family volume

$3K

Orderbook snapshot

16 / 98¢

Kalshi
82¢ spread
BidSize
16¢1
AskSize
98¢5
99¢10

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Cameron Smith finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf Korea, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 28, 2026

Identifier

KXLIVTOP10-LIGK26-CSMI

SF Signal
SF Index
3170.18
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

6340.4%

IY (No)

230.0%

Adj IY

3170%

CRI

5

Overround

4.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

6340.4%
230.0%
Adj IY
3170%
5
Overround
4.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.