Los Angeles to win Los Angeles vs Washington
Los Angeles is priced at 45¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 44¢ bid, 45¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside Los Angeles vs Washington winner.
Price history
45¢ current
+6¢Contract brief
If Los Angeles wins the Los Angeles vs Washington women's professional basketball game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Los Angeles
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Washington 55¢
Range
44¢-55¢
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXWNBAGAME-26MAY29LAWSH-LA
May 28, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
44¢
Ask
45¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · Los Angeles vs Washington winner
Closes
Jun 12, 2026
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
44 / 45¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Los Angeles wins the Los Angeles vs Washington women's professional basketball game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 12, 2026
Identifier
KXWNBAGAME-26MAY29LAWSH-LA
Event family
Los Angeles vs Washington winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Washington 55¢
Current share
73%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.