SimpleFunctions

Magomed Kurbanov to win Magomed Kurbanov vs Tonghui Li

Magomed Kurbanov is priced at 92¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 90¢ bid, 92¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside Magomed Kurbanov vs Tonghui Li Winner.

Price history

92¢ current

+8¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 26, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Magomed Kurbanov wins the Magomed Kurbanov vs Tonghui Li boxing match originally scheduled for May 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Magomed Kurbanov

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Magomed Kurbanov 90¢

Range

8¢-90¢

Family volume

$357

Identifier

KXBOXING-26MAY29KURBANLI-KURBAN

May 28, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 8m ago

Implied probability

92¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 8m ago

Bid

90¢

Ask

92¢

Spread

24h volume

$2

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · Magomed Kurbanov vs Tonghui Li Winner

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Family volume

$357

Orderbook snapshot

90 / 92¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
90¢360
89¢2.9K
88¢800
87¢1.0K
86¢1.0K
AskSize
92¢1.7K
93¢1.0K
94¢9.0K
95¢6.4K
96¢6.8K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Magomed Kurbanov wins the Magomed Kurbanov vs Tonghui Li boxing match originally scheduled for May 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Identifier

KXBOXING-26MAY29KURBANLI-KURBAN

SF Signal
SF Index
11171.19
Regime
neutral

Event family

Magomed Kurbanov vs Tonghui Li Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$357

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Magomed Kurbanov 90¢

Current share

1%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

275.8%
22342.4%
Adj IY
11171%
9

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.