Will Marco Rubio visit China by December 31, 2026?
This contract is priced at 86¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 85¢ bid, 87¢ ask, 2¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
2
Family volume
$15K
Best sibling
June 30 86¢
Ticker
0x612c7282…2cdd
Market snapshot
December 31 in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Marco Rubio visit China by December 31, 2026?. The displayed quote is 86¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $87. In the Marco Rubio visits China by...? family, this outcome ranks #1 of 2 by current quote across 2 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.
Outcome
December 31
Family rank
#1 of 2
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
86¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Dec 31, 2026
24h volume
$87
Family context
2 outcomes · Marco Rubio visits China by...?
Quote range
86¢-86¢
Family leader
December 31 86¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 8m ago
Venue identifier: 0x612c7282dc540fb6382a282f516b979f28946227920ee8d5e7f108c6d8292cdd. Family volume: $15K.
Price history
86¢ current
+11¢Orderbook snapshot
85 / 87¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Marco Rubio visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Rubio physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Rubio enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Marco Rubio, the US Federal Government, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0x612c7282…2cdd
Event family
Marco Rubio visits China by.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$15K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
December 31 86¢
Current share
76%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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