SimpleFunctions
PolymarketSep 1, 2026115 days left

Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?

This contract is priced at 26¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 25¢ bid, 27¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

26¢
$3K volume
$6K liquidity
26% of event volume

Event outcomes

4

Family volume

$12K

Best sibling

Ed Markey 71¢

Ticker

0x6d244daa…7779

Market snapshot

Seth Moulton in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?. The displayed quote is 26¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $30. In the Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #2 of 4 by current quote across 4 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Seth Moulton

Family rank

#2 of 4

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

26¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Sep 1, 2026

24h volume

$30

Family context

4 outcomes · Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Quote range

0¢-71¢

Family leader

Ed Markey 71¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 6:23 AM UTC · 14m ago

Venue identifier: 0x6d244daa9ac01837aa4f16ab3b989c21458dcdf8e7417aa2f7221e35d4df7779. Family volume: $12K.

Price history

26¢ current

+14¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

25 / 27¢

Polymarket
2¢ spread
BidSize
25¢69
24¢589
23¢50
22¢200
17¢46
16¢142
15¢16
14¢158
AskSize
27¢58
32¢30
33¢299
35¢131
36¢269
38¢105
39¢369
61¢200

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts. If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Sep 1, 2026

Identifier

0x6d244daa…7779

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on kalshi at 26¢, 0¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Event family

Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$12K

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Ed Markey 71¢

Current share

26%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

860.1%

IY (No)

117.7%

Adj IY

860%

CRI

3

RV

898%

VR

3.11

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

860.1%
117.7%
Adj IY
860%
3
RV
898%
VR
3.11
IAR
2.6/h

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