June 30, 2026 · MegaETH airdrop by
June 30, 2026 is priced at 18¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 17¢ bid, 19¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside MegaETH airdrop by...?.
Price history
18¢ current
−35¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from MegaETH, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Outcome
June 30, 2026
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
December 31, 2026 46¢
Range
18¢-46¢
Family volume
$1.6M
Identifier
0xe459d1b5...3c8e
May 28, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
17¢
Ask
19¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · MegaETH airdrop by...?
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Family volume
$1.6M
Orderbook snapshot
17 / 19¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from MegaETH, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Identifier
0xe459d1b5…3c8e
Event family
MegaETH airdrop by.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1.6M
Outcomes
2
Highest price
December 31, 2026 46¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.