Meta "Mango" model released by June 30?
This contract is priced at 26¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 25¢ bid, 27¢ ask, 2¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
1
Family volume
$6K
Best sibling
—
Ticker
0xe2b3aca2…17b4
Market snapshot
June 30 in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Meta "Mango" model released by June 30?. The displayed quote is 26¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $1. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
June 30
Family rank
—
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
26¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jun 30, 2026
24h volume
$1
Family context
Standalone contract
Quote range
—
Family leader
—
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 11m ago
Venue identifier: 0xe2b3aca20d136af79f908b7c9cba9832b338e2c02083aa114444f273621b17b4. Family volume: $6K.
Price history
26¢ current
−47¢Orderbook snapshot
25 / 27¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
Meta is developing a new frontier image and video-focused AI model codenamed “Mango”. You can read more about that here: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/meta-bets-mango-avocado-ai-224956071.html This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta makes a new frontier AI model for image and video generation, or any model confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development, available to the general public by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A frontier AI image and video model refers to a newly released Meta model that Meta describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models for both image and video generation. A qualifying model must be a general purpose model for image and video generation. Models which are focused on a specific aspect of image or video creation (e.g. computer vision or video segmentation) will not qualify. Upgrades or successors to previous Meta models (e.g. Emu or SAM) will not count unless explicitly confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development or described by Meta as a frontier AI model for both image and video generation. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the relevant model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as being accessible to the general public. A publicly-confirmed integration of a qualifying model into one of Meta’s primary AI buttons or portals (e.g. Instagram or Whatsapp) will qualify as a public release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Identifier
0xe2b3aca2…17b4
Event family
Meta "Mango" model released by.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$6K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
June 30 26¢
Current share
100%
June 30
polymarket · 0xe2b3aca20d136af79f908b7c9cba9832b338e2c02083aa114444f273621b17b4
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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