What is the current probability for "Miami Grand Prix Sprint Race: Top 5 Finishers?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 86¢ (86% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 16, 2026. 16 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Miami Grand Prix Sprint Race: Top 5 Finishers?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 499.6% and 10369.0% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Miami Grand Prix Sprint Race: Top 5 Finishers?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Miami Grand Prix Sprint Race: Top 5 Finishers?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 86% probability that Miami Grand Prix Sprint Race: Top 5 Finishers?. This contract trades at 86¢ on Kalshi, closing May 16, 2026.

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86¢mid

Bid/Ask 82/90¢·Spread 8¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 16, 2026·16d remaining

KXF1SPRINTTOP5-MIAGP26-ANT

7-day price3 snapshots · 3 regime

82¢82¢ current

Apr 301¢Apr 30

Resolution rules

If Andrea Kimi Antonelli finishes in the top 5 in the Miami Grand Prix Sprint race originally scheduled for May 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 499.6%

IY (No) 10369.0%

Adj IY 4679%

CRI 5

Overround 3.8%

LAS 0.10

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	499.6%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	10369.0%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	4679%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	3.8%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.10	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

8¢

Computed

4/30/2026, 4:17:48 PM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/30/2026, 4:08:09 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXF1SPRINTTOP5-MIAGP26-ANT yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →