Miami Grand Prix: Top 5 Finishers
Prediction markets currently give a 89% probability that Miami Grand Prix: Top 5 Finishers. This contract trades at 89¢ on Kalshi, closing May 17, 2026. This illiquid micro-contract on Antonelli's Miami Grand Prix top-5 finish shows extreme yield asymmetry, with the No side offering a nonsensical 5037% annualized return against just 277% for Yes, indicating severe mispricing likely driven by the $14 open interest and zero 24-hour volume.
Analysis
This illiquid micro-contract on Antonelli's Miami Grand Prix top-5 finish shows extreme yield asymmetry, with the No side offering a nonsensical 5037% annualized return against just 277% for Yes, indicating severe mispricing likely driven by the $14 open interest and zero 24-hour volume. The 88¢ price appears artificially high given the wide 8¢ spread and suggests minimal real conviction; with only 31 days to expiry, any actual trading could cause sharp repricing. The neutral regime and modest 1¢ price movement over seven days mask the underlying instability typical of abandoned prediction markets with negligible liquidity.
Resolution rules
If Andrea Kimi Antonelli finishes in the top 5 in the Miami Grand Prix originally scheduled for May 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXF1TOP5-MIAGP26-ANT yes 100