Miami vs New England Winner?
Prediction markets currently give a 72% probability that Miami vs New England Winner?. This contract trades at 72¢ on Kalshi, closing May 9, 2026. This market shows extremely thin liquidity with only $13 in 24-hour volume and open interest, creating a highly illiquid environment where even modest trades could move the 64¢ price significantly.
Analysis
This market shows extremely thin liquidity with only $13 in 24-hour volume and open interest, creating a highly illiquid environment where even modest trades could move the 64¢ price significantly. The astronomical implied yields—974% for Yes and 3,079% for No—reflect the minimal liquidity rather than genuine arbitrage opportunities, and the 5¢ spread is notably wide relative to the contract value. With 21 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 2, this market carries meaningful execution risk for any meaningful position size.
Resolution rules
If Miami wins the Miami vs New England professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXMLSGAME-26APR25MIANE-MIA yes 100