Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?
This contract is priced at 30¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 24¢ bid, 36¢ ask, 12¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
2
Family volume
$7K
Best sibling
June 30, 2026 9¢
Ticker
0xfa36659c…6d15
Price history
30¢ current
+4¢Orderbook snapshot
24 / 36¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0xfa36659c…6d15
Event family
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$7K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
December 31, 2026 30¢
Current share
35%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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